Aviation
WORLDACD: GLOBAL DEMAND DECLINE SLOWS WHILE RATES SLIDE FURTHER
April 21, 2023

Worldwide air cargo demand continued its decline in the second full week of April, albeit at a slower pace than recorded in last week's report, preliminary figures from WorldACD Market Data indicate.

 

Figures for week 15 (April 10-16) show a continuation of the decreasing trend in air cargo tonnages observed since mid-March 3 but with a week-on-week drop of just -2% compared to a -8% decline reported in week 14.

 

Global air cargo rates continue to decline

 

WorldACD noted that meanwhile, average global air cargo prices continued their decline with a further -2% drop, week on week – based on the more than 400,000 weekly transactions covered by WorldACD's data.

 

Comparing weeks 14 and 15 with the preceding two weeks (2Wo2W), overall tonnages decreased by -9% versus their combined total in weeks 12 and 13, and average worldwide rates decreased by -4%, with stable capacity.

 

The report added that at a regional level, the downward trend in air cargo tonnages is visible from all of the main origin regions and on all lanes, on a 2Wo2W basis, particularly flows ex-Europe — most notably to Central & South America (-21%), Africa (-17%), North America (-16%), Asia Pacific (-14%) and Middle East & South Asia (-14%).

 

"This relatively strong decline ex-Europe is partially due to the Easter holidays. Furthermore, significant declines were observed in flows ex-Middle East & South Asia to Asia Pacific (-18%) and ex-North America to Europe (-18%)," WorldACD said.

 

In terms of pricing, on a 2Wo2W basis, the report said average rates show a slightly positive trend ex-Central & South America to North America (+1%), but for all other lanes, the rates are decreasing, with the most significant drop seen from the Middle East & South Asia to Asia Pacific (-23%).

 

Cargo volumes, rate down year-on-year

 

"Comparing the overall global market with this time last year, chargeable weight in weeks 14 and 15 was down -12% compared with the equivalent period last year – a return (after March's -8%) to the double-digit percentage declines seen in the preceding five months," WorldACD said.

 

It added that notable percentage decreases in tonnages year-on-year were ex-North America (-25%) and ex-Europe (-18%).

 

The report further said overall capacity has jumped by +12% compared with the previous year, with double-digit percentage increases from almost all regions – except from Central & South America, which was slightly down (-2%), and North America (+5%).

 

The most notable increases were ex-Asia Pacific (+33%) and ex-Africa (+19%).

 

WorldACD said worldwide rates are currently -37% below their levels this time last year, at an average of US$2.56 per kilo in week 15, despite the effects of higher fuel surcharges, although they remain significantly above pre-Covid levels.